I’m going to start this Covid numbers update by voicing what is only an opinion which is: it looks like the omicron variant has hit Appleton. Less of an opinion and more just fact is that numbers are up by quite a bit this week.
On 01/02/2022 Appleton recorded 48 confirmed cases and 10 probable cases. Over the entire holiday weekend from 12/30/2021 through 01/02/2022 Appleton recorded a total of 327 confirmed and 135 probable cases. Active cases still managed to drop by 15 from 12/29/2021 to 01/02/2021, and cases out of isolation increased by 707 over that same timeframe. There was one death over the weekend bringing the total since the start of the pandemic to 78. [I’m not exactly sure on which day over the weekend the death occurred, nor do I know the exact distribution of confirmed cases for 12/31 and 01/01. I called the Health Department to get those exact figures, but after sitting on hold for several minutes decided to just submit an email request for the numbers instead. Once I have the exact dates and figures I will update the chart accordingly.]
As you can see, year over year running averages have sharply diverged over the last week. The current 7-day running average is approximately 50 points higher than on this day last year and the running average of confirmed and probable cases combined is approximately 65 points higher. Active cases are still much lower than where they were on this day last year, with Appleton only have 230 active cases currently as compared to 627 on this day last year. Year over year deaths also remain low. Last year between March 18 (the day of Appleton’s first recorded coronavirus case) and January 2, Appleton recorded 52 deaths with/from coronavirus as compared to 15 such deaths this year. The year over year death rate is also much lower, with 15 deaths for 7029 confirmed and probable cases this year working out to only 0.2% as compared to 52 cases for 6,258 confirmed and probable cases last year working out to a 0.8% death rate.
The very rapid increase in cases is very apparent when looking at the total weekly numbers. Last week we had 504 confirmed cases and 226 probable cases. The week before that we 258 confirmed cases and 124 probable cases. That makes Appleton’s 2 week burden per 100,000 residents work out to 1,016 when including only confirmed cases and 1,483 when including both confirmed and probable in the calculation. Both of those are in the “critically high” burden category.
Over the entire course of the pandemic, 20.29% of Appleton’s residents have had a confirmed or probable case of coronavirus. 0.31% have a currently active case. 0.1% have died with/from coronavirus. The remaining 79.71% of residents are not known to have had coronavirus.
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